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HURRICANE LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1302
1500Z MON SEP 30 2002
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA
HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE REST OF CUBA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  80.0W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  80.0W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N  79.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 20.6N  81.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 21.7N  83.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 23.0N  86.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N  80.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 24.5N  88.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 28.0N  92.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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