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TROPICAL STORM LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1302
0300Z MON SEP 30 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES
OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO AND
HOLGUIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS AND CIEGO DE AVILA.  A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA
HABANA...LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  78.5W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW  25NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  78.5W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  78.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 19.9N  79.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 21.2N  81.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 22.4N  84.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N  78.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 23.9N  86.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 27.0N  90.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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