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TROPICAL STORM LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1302
0900Z SUN SEP 29 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES
OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...
GUANTANAMO...AND HOLGUIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...CIENFUEGOS...VILLA
CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS AND CIEGO DE AVILA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE
CAYMAN.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  77.1W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  77.1W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  76.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.6N  77.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.6N  79.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 21.6N  80.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N  77.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 22.4N  82.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 24.0N  85.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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