[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1302
0300Z SUN SEP 29 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS EXTENDED TROPICAL
STORM WATCHES AND WARNING WESTWARD.   A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...
SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO...AND HOLGUIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...CIENFUEGOS...VILLA
CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS AND CIEGO DE AVILA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE
CAYMAN.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  76.4W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  76.4W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  76.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.6N  77.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 20.6N  78.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 21.6N  79.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N  76.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 22.4N  81.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 23.8N  84.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
NNNN


Webmaster