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TROPICAL STORM LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL1302
2100Z SAT SEP 28 2002
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE PROBABLY OCCURRING ON THE SOUTHWESTERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF
GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO...AND HOLGUIN. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND
CAMAGUEY.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE
CAYMAN.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 75.8W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 100SE 50SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 75.8W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 75.6W
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.3N 76.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 20.2N 77.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 21.0N 79.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 75.8W
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 21.5N 80.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 22.5N 83.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN
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