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TROPICAL STORM LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1302
1500Z SAT SEP 28 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE PROBABLY OCCURRING ON THE SOUTHWESTERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF
GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO...AND HOLGUIN.  A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND
CAMAGUEY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE
CAYMAN.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  75.5W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  75.5W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  75.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.7N  76.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.9N  77.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 20.7N  78.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N  75.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 21.3N  79.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 22.5N  82.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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