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TROPICAL STORM LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1302
0300Z SAT SEP 28 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY OCCUR ON THE SOUTHWESTERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...GUANTANAMO...AND HOLGUIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND CAMAGUEY.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  75.2W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  75.2W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  75.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.6N  75.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.7N  76.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.6N  77.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N  75.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 21.3N  79.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 22.0N  81.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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