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TROPICAL STORM LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1302
1500Z FRI SEP 27 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  74.8W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  74.8W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  74.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.8N  75.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.9N  76.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.8N  77.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE   0SW  45NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N  74.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 19.5N  78.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 20.5N  80.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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