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TROPICAL DEPRESSION LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1302
0900Z FRI SEP 27 2002
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR JAMAICA.
 
ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF HAITI...AND THE SOUTHEAST
COAST OF CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LILI.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  75.1W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  75.1W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  74.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.5N  76.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.5N  77.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.5N  78.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW  40NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N  75.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 19.5N  79.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 20.5N  80.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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