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TROPICAL DEPRESSION LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1302
1500Z THU SEP 26 2002
 
...CORRECTED TO INDICATE THAT THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...ALL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE DISCONTINUED.
HOWEVER...INTERESTS IN JAMAICA AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF HAITI
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE REMNANTS OF LILI SINCE THERE IS A GOOD
POSSIBILITY THAT LILI COULD RE-DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL STORM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  72.5W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE  50SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  72.5W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  72.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.9N  73.9W...BROAD REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.9N  75.4W...BROAD REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.0N  77.0W...REGENERATING
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N  72.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 19.0N  78.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 20.0N  82.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON LILI UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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