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TROPICAL STORM LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1302
0900Z THU SEP 26 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COASTS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI FROM PUNTA PALENQUE WESTWARD
TO TIBURON ON THE WESTERN TIP OF THE TIBURON PENINSULA OF
HAITI...AND ALSO FOR JAMAICA.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHERN HAITI MAY BE UPGRADED TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING THURSDAY MORNING.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  70.8W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......135NE   0SE   0SW 135NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE  50SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  70.8W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  70.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.0N  71.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...135NE   0SE   0SW 135NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 15.7N  73.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...135NE   0SE   0SW 135NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.6N  74.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...135NE   0SE   0SW 135NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N  70.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 17.8N  76.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...135NE   0SE   0SW 135NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 20.0N  78.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...135NE   0SE   0SW 135NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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