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TROPICAL STORM LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1302
1500Z WED SEP 25 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COASTS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI FROM PUNTA PALENQUE WESTWARD
TO TIBURON ON THE WESTERN TIP OF THE TIBURON PENINSULA OF HAITI.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  69.3W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE  50SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  69.3W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  68.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 14.7N  70.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.8N  72.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.1N  73.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE   0SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N  69.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 18.5N  74.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  30SW  70NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 21.5N  76.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  40SW  70NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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