[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1302
0900Z WED SEP 25 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COASTS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI FROM PUNTA PALENQUE WESTWARD
TO TIBURON ON THE WESTERN TIP OF THE TIBURON PENINSULA OF HAITI.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  68.4W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE  50SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  68.4W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  67.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 14.8N  70.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 110SE   0SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.2N  72.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 110SE   0SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.0N  73.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 110SE   0SW 110NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N  68.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 19.5N  74.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 110SE   0SW 110NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 22.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 110SE   0SW 110NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN/COBB
 
 
NNNN


Webmaster