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TROPICAL STORM LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL1302
2100Z TUE SEP 24 2002
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COASTS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI FROM PUNTA PALENQUE WESTWARD
TO TIBURON ON THE WESTERN TIP OF THE TIBURON PENINSULA OF HAITI.
A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR HAITI LATER TONIGHT OR
WEDNESDAY.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 66.6W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT.......110NE 40SE 20SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE 80SE 60SW 130NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 66.6W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 66.0W
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.1N 68.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 10SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 40SE 20SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.2N 70.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 10SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 60SE 30SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.6N 72.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 66.6W
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 18.2N 73.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 80SW 120NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 21.0N 75.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 120NW.
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
Webmaster
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