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TROPICAL STORM LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1302
1500Z TUE SEP 24 2002
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THEIR SOUTHERN COAST FROM PUNTA
PALENQUE...LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF SANTO DOMINGO...WESTWARD TO THE
HAITI BORDER.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR HAITI LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  65.6W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT.......110NE  40SE  20SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  65.6W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  64.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.0N  67.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  10SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  40SE  20SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.0N  69.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  10SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  30SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.3N  71.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  60SW 120NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N  65.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 18.0N  72.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  80SW 120NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 20.5N  75.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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