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TROPICAL STORM LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1302
0300Z TUE SEP 24 2002
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...ALL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR
THE LESSER ANTILLES ARE DISCONTINUED.  ALL INTERESTS ARE URGED TO
EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  62.7W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  30SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE   0SE  50SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  62.7W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  62.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 13.8N  64.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  30SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.0N  67.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.1N  69.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N  62.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 17.0N  70.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  80SW 120NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 19.0N  73.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN/KNABB
 
 
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