[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM LILI SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1302
1530Z MON SEP 23 2002
 
AT 1130 AM AST...1530Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE SOUTHERN LESSER ANTILLES FROM ST. LUCIA SOUTHWARD TO THE
GRENADINES...INCLUDING BARBADOS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL LESSER
ANTILLES FROM GUADELOUPE SOUTHWARD TO MARTINIQUE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING OR A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE ISSUED FOR
GRENADA LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  59.6W AT 23/1530Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 282 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  59.6W AT 23/1530Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  58.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 13.0N  62.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  30SE  30SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 13.9N  64.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  30SE  30SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.9N  67.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N  59.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 15.9N  69.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 18.0N  73.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN


Webmaster