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HURRICANE ISIDORE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1002
0900Z SUN SEP 22 2002
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTH AND EAST COASTS OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM TULUM TO PROGRESSO...INCLUDING THE ISLAND
OF COZUMEL.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN CUBA
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  87.9W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  936 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  25SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT.......175NE 150SE 100SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..225NE 175SE 100SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  87.9W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  87.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 21.8N  88.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  25SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 100SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 21.5N  90.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  25SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 100SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 21.2N  90.8W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  25SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE  50SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE  75SE 175SW 175NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N  87.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 21.2N  91.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT...100NE  50SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE  75SE 175SW 175NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 22.0N  92.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 175SW 175NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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