[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ISIDORE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1002
2100Z SAT SEP 21 2002
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTH AND EAST COASTS OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM TULUM TO PROGRESSO...INCLUDING THE ISLAND
OF COZUMEL.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN CUBA
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  86.2W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  946 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE 100SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 275SE 100SW 250NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  86.2W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  86.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.9N  87.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 100SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 21.9N  88.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 100SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 21.9N  89.2W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...175NE 140SE  80SW 175NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N  86.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 22.0N  90.3W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 100SW 175NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 22.5N  92.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN


Webmaster