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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0902
2100Z THU SEP 12 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SUWANEE RIVER
FLORIDA WESTWARD TO JUST EAST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED LATER TONIGHT OR FRIDAY.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N  87.8W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N  87.8W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  87.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 27.5N  87.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 29.0N  87.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 30.5N  86.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.8N  87.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 32.5N  85.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 36.0N  80.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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