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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0902
0300Z THU SEP 12 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE
NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO COAST ON THURSDAY.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  86.5W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  86.5W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.3N  86.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 27.0N  86.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 27.5N  85.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 28.2N  85.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N  86.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 29.0N  85.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 31.0N  84.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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