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HURRICANE GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0802
0300Z THU SEP 12 2002
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.0N  61.0W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  75 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  40 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  964 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  75SE  75SW   0NW.
50 KT.......  0NE 120SE 120SW   0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 450SE 300SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 450SE 600SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.0N  61.0W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 43.3N  62.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 48.8N  56.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 150SE 150SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 450SE 300SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 52.0N  52.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 150SE 150SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 480SE 480SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 56.0N  51.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 150SE 150SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 540SE 540SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 45.0N  61.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 60.0N  51.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 150SE 150SW   0NW.
34 KT...420NE 540SE 540SW 300NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z...MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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