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TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0802
0300Z WED SEP 11 2002
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF OCRACOKE INLET...THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS AND THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT
VIRGINIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM OCRACOKE INLET
NORTHWARD TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VIRGINIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N  73.9W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 225SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 300SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N  73.9W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.7N  74.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 37.5N  71.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...125NE 225SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 40.5N  66.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 360SE 300SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 44.0N  60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 100SE  75SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 480SE 420SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.2N  73.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 51.0N  53.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 100SE  75SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 480SE 420SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 58.0N  47.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 150SE 150SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 480SE 420SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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