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TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0802
1500Z TUE SEP 10 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE FEAR NORTH
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...AND INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE
BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT VIRGINIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N  75.3W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N  75.3W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.7N  75.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 35.4N  74.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...125NE 150SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 37.4N  70.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  75SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...125NE 150SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 41.0N  64.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 100SE  75SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 200SE 150SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N  75.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 46.2N  55.9W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 100SE  75SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 200SE 150SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 54.0N  46.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 150SE 150SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 300SE 300SW  75NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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