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SUBTROPICAL STORM GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL0802
0300Z TUE SEP 10 2002
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE FEAR NORTH
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA
INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS CHANGED TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM NORTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTHWARD
TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY
SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT VIRGINIA.
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 75.9W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......125NE 125SE 75SW 85NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 75.9W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 75.5W
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 33.5N 76.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 35.5N 74.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 75SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 75SW 85NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 37.5N 71.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 100SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 200SE 150SW 100NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.5N 75.9W
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 40.5N 64.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 150SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 200SE 150SW 100NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 51.0N 51.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 150SE 150SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 300SE 300SW 100NW.
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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