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SUBTROPICAL STORM GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0802
1500Z MON SEP 09 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
NORTHWARD TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH
LIGHT NORTHWARD TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE
SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT VIRGINIA.
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N  74.0W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N  74.0W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  73.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 32.8N  75.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE  85SE  75SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 34.1N  75.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 100SE  75SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 35.3N  74.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.0N  74.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 36.6N  72.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 150SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 41.5N  61.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 150SE 150SW  75NW.
34 KT...100NE 300SE 300SW 150NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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