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SUBTROPICAL STORM GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0802
0900Z MON SEP 09 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
NORTHWARD TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH
LIGHT NORTHWARD TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE
SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT VIRGINIA.
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  73.4W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......125NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE  50SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  73.4W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.4N  73.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 32.6N  74.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE  85SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 33.8N  75.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 35.1N  75.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N  73.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 36.5N  73.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 150SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 41.5N  62.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 150SE 150SW  75NW.
34 KT...100NE 300SE 300SW 150NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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