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SUBTROPICAL STORM GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0802
0300Z MON SEP 09 2002
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A PORTION OF THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS
BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM CAPE FEAR NORTH
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA...
INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED
FROM NORTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTHWARD TO PARRAMORE ISLAND
VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT
COMFORT VIRGINIA.
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  72.6W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE  75SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE  30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  72.6W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  72.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 32.2N  74.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  75SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 33.0N  75.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
34 KT...180NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 34.4N  76.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N  72.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 35.7N  74.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 125SE  75SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 210SE 150SW 120NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 39.0N  66.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 200SE  50SW  50NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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