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SUBTROPICAL STORM GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0802
2100Z SUN SEP 08 2002
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE
FEAR NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER.
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  71.4W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE  75SE   0SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  71.4W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  71.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 32.0N  72.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  75SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 33.2N  74.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 33.7N  75.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N  71.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 34.8N  75.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 125SE  75SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 210SE 150SW 120NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 38.5N  67.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 200SE  50SW  50NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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