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TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0602
0300Z SAT SEP 07 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PORT ARANSAS TEXAS TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM PORT OCONNOR TO HIGH ISLAND
TEXAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N  95.0W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE   0SE   0SW  65NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW  65NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N  95.0W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  95.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 28.0N  95.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  30SE  30SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 28.5N  96.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 29.0N  97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.0N  95.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 29.5N  99.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 29.5N 100.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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