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TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0102
1500Z TUE JUL 16 2002
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.7N  57.1W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  34 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 200SE 150SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 200SE 175SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.7N  57.1W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.6N  57.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 45.0N  55.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 200SE 150SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 48.1N  54.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...125NE 200SE 150SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 54.0N  51.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.7N  57.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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