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TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0102
0900Z TUE JUL 16 2002

...COR FOR 12 FOOT SEAS IN THE NW QUADRANT...
   
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N  60.3W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  26 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 200SE 150SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 200SE 175SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N  60.3W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.5N  61.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 41.0N  57.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 200SE 150SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 46.0N  55.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...125NE 200SE 150SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 48.0N  56.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.1N  60.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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