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TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0102
2100Z MON JUL 15 2002

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.3N  67.0W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT  23 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 110SE  60SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 100SW  70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.3N  67.0W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.8N  68.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 38.8N  63.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE  90SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 41.3N  59.1W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 120SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 43.5N  58.9W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  20NW.
34 KT...240NE 180SE  60SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.3N  67.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 45.3N  58.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...240NE 180SE  80SW  80NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 49.5N  56.0W...EXTRATROPICAL AND INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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