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TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0102
1500Z MON JUL 15 2002
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.4N  69.7W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  70 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 150SE  90SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.4N  69.7W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.1N  71.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 37.6N  65.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 40.1N  60.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  40SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 42.5N  57.8W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  40SW  20NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.4N  69.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 45.1N  57.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 48.5N  56.5W...EXTRATROPICAL AND INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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