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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 PM PST FRI NOV 15 2002
 
AFTER GENERATING VIGOROUS CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON...THE DEPRESSION
HAS BEEN DECAPITATED BY 70 KT UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES.  THE SHEAR
OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PROBABLY ABOUT 80 KT OR SO.  THERE
IS VIRTUALLY NO DEEP CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM.  GIVEN THE HIGH
SHEAR...IT IS VERY UNLIKELY THE DEPRESSION WILL BE ABLE TO SUSTAIN
ANY CONVECTION...ALTHOUGH THERE MAY BE A FEW INTERMITTENT PUFFS.
THE DEPRESSION IS DISSIPATING...AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY.
THE REMNANT LOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A TRACK A LITTLE SOUTH OF
WEST AT ABOUT 8 KT FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     16/0300Z 14.7N 116.0W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
12HR VT     16/1200Z 14.3N 117.1W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT     17/0000Z 14.1N 118.7W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT     17/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
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