[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE KENNA DISCUSSION NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT FRI OCT 25 2002
 
KENNA MADE LANDFALL AS A 120 KT CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE NEAR SAN 
BLAS MEXICO NEAR 1630Z.  IT IS CONTINUING TO ACCELERATE...THE MOTION 
IS NOW 040/21.  IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS 
OF CENTRAL MEXICO.  THERE IS SOME INDICATION THAT A SURFACE 
CIRCULATION...PROBABLY BAROCLINIC...COULD REDEVELOP NEAR THE TEXAS 
GULF COAST IN 24 HOURS OR SO.

THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS HARD TO GAUGE...BUT IT IS ALMOST CERTAIN 
THAT HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE STILL PRESENT...PARTICULARLY AT 
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     25/2100Z 23.0N 104.0W    70 KTS
12HR VT     26/0600Z 25.5N 101.0W    30 KTS...DISSIPATING
24HR VT     26/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
NNNN


Webmaster