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TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE DISCUSSION NUMBER  20
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT FRI AUG 30 2002
 
GENEVIEVE DOES NOT WANT TO GIVE UP JUST YET...AS SOME DEEP
CONVECTION HAS REDEVELOPED IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT.  DVORAK
INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE IN THE 25 TO 30 KT RANGE...AND THIS IS
CONFIRMED BY A QUIKSCAT PASS AT 1408Z THAT SHOWED NUMEROUS 30 KT
VECTORS.  THUS THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 30 KT FOR THIS
ADVISORY.  SSTS ARE NOW ABOUT 24C...SO GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST 
IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE SHIPS GUIDANCE.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 310/9.  GENEVIEVE REMAINS TO THE NORTHEAST OF 
A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW THAT IS PROVIDING THE SOUTHEASTERLY 
STEERING CURRENT.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN TRACK ARE EXPECTED 
PRIOR TO DISSIPATION.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     30/2100Z 21.0N 123.8W    30 KTS
12HR VT     31/0600Z 21.9N 124.9W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
24HR VT     31/1800Z 23.0N 126.3W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT     01/0600Z 23.8N 127.5W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT     01/1800Z 24.5N 128.5W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT     02/1800Z 25.5N 131.0W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
 
 
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