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TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER  24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT TUE AUG 27 2002

SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED SWIRL...WITH MOSTLY LAYERED 
CLOUDS AND SOME RAIN LIKELY OCCURING OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION OF 
THE CIRCULATION.  HOWEVER THERE IS ESSENTIALLY NO DEEP CONVECTION.  
DVORAK ESTIMATES...WHICH ARE QUESTIONABLE FOR THIS KIND OF 
SYSTEM...SUGGEST THAT THE CYCLONE STILL HAS WINDS OF MINIMAL 
TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH.  HOWEVER FAUSTO WILL LIKELY BE DOWNGRADED 
TO A DEPRESSION LATER THIS MORNING.  THE CIRCULATION SHOULD CONTINUE 
TO WIND DOWN TO A REMNANT LOW IN A DAY OR SO.

THE MOTION CONTINUES AT ABOUT 290/16.  A PRONOUNCED LOW- TO 
MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A 
MOSTLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  THUS THE 
OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS BASICALLY AN EXTENSION OF THE PREVIOUS 
ONE.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     27/0900Z 22.9N 137.7W    35 KTS
12HR VT     27/1800Z 23.6N 139.8W    30 KTS
24HR VT     28/0600Z 24.5N 142.5W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
36HR VT     28/1800Z 25.5N 145.5W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT     29/0600Z 26.5N 148.5W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT     30/0600Z 27.5N 154.0W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
 
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