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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM PDT FRI JUN 28 2002
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES REVEAL THAT THE LOW LEVEL CENTER HAS BECOME
WELL-REMOVED FROM THE CONVECTION AND IS NOW A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW
CLOUDS. THIS HAS MADE THE CENTER EASIER TO LOCATE. AN UPPER-TROUGH
REACHED THE AREA AND IS PRODUCING A STRONG SHEARING ENVIRONMENT. IN
FACT...THIS WAS SUGGESTED BY THE GLOBAL MODELS AS WELL AS SHIPS. WE
ARE KEEPING A 25-KNOT DEPRESSION BUT THE WEAKENING PROCESS SHOULD
CONTINUE AND THE DEPRESSION MAY BE JUST A REMNANT LOW BY DAYLIGHT
SATURDAY.
THE SWIRL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST ABOUT 13 KNOTS OR FASTER AND
SHOULD CONTINUE ON THIS GENERAL TRACK...STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL
FLOW UNTIL DISSIPATION.
FORECASTER AVILA
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 29/0300Z 12.7N 132.0W 25 KTS
12HR VT 29/1200Z 12.8N 133.7W 25 KTS
24HR VT 30/0000Z 13.0N 136.0W 20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 30/1200Z 13.0N 137.5W 20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 01/0000Z 13.0N 139.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING
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