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TROPICAL DEPRESSION BORIS DISCUSSION NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT TUE JUN 11 2002
 
A FEW CELLS OF DEEP CONVECTION DEVELOPED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL 
CENTER...SO WE WILL NOT DISCONTINUE ADVISORIES THIS MORNING.  THE 
FIRST VISIBLE IMAGES SHOW A LOW-CLOUD CIRCULATION THAT IS NOT AS 
WELL-DEFINED AS IT WAS YESTERDAY.  IT IS ESTIMATED THAT THE MAXIMUM 
WINDS ARE DOWN TO 25 KT...AND STRONG EASTERLY SHEAR SHOULD PREVENT 
SIGNIFICANT RE-INTENSIFICATION.  THE CYCLONE WILL LIKELY BE DECLARED 
DISSIPATED LATER TODAY.

ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM HAS DRIFTED A BIT TO THE EAST...THE MOTION HAS 
BEEN SO SLOW THAT IT CAN BE CONSIDERED QUASI-STATIONARY.  STEERING 
CURRENTS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN WEAK SO BORIS SHOULD NOT MOVE MUCH 
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     11/1500Z 17.2N 103.3W    25 KTS
12HR VT     12/0000Z 17.2N 103.3W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
24HR VT     12/1200Z 17.0N 103.5W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT     13/0000Z 17.0N 103.5W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT     13/1200Z 17.0N 103.5W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT     14/1200Z 17.0N 103.5W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
 
 
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