ZCZC MIATCDAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE LILI SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 45
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT WED OCT 02 2002
REPORTS FROM THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER INDICATE
THAT THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF LILI HAS DROPPED TO 941 MB WITH
FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 131 KT. LILI IS THUS UPGRADED TO A 115 KT
CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE. THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY UPDATES THE INITIAL
INTENSITY AND INTENSITY FORECAST. THE TRACK...WIND RADII...AND
WARNINGS ARE THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE.
FORECASTER BEVEN
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 02/1800Z 25.3N 89.4W 115 KTS
12HR VT 03/0000Z 26.0N 90.5W 125 KTS
24HR VT 03/1200Z 28.1N 92.1W 125 KTS
36HR VT 04/0000Z 30.4N 92.5W 85 KTS...INLAND
48HR VT 04/1200Z 33.5N 91.0W 40 KTS...INLAND
72HR VT 05/1200Z 40.5N 82.0W 30 KTS...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
NNNN
Webmaster