[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCDAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE LILI SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER  45
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT WED OCT 02 2002

REPORTS FROM THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER INDICATE 
THAT THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF LILI HAS DROPPED TO 941 MB WITH
FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 131 KT.  LILI IS THUS UPGRADED TO A 115 KT 
CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE.  THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY UPDATES THE INITIAL
INTENSITY AND INTENSITY FORECAST.  THE TRACK...WIND RADII...AND
WARNINGS ARE THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     02/1800Z 25.3N  89.4W   115 KTS
12HR VT     03/0000Z 26.0N  90.5W   125 KTS
24HR VT     03/1200Z 28.1N  92.1W   125 KTS
36HR VT     04/0000Z 30.4N  92.5W    85 KTS...INLAND
48HR VT     04/1200Z 33.5N  91.0W    40 KTS...INLAND
72HR VT     05/1200Z 40.5N  82.0W    30 KTS...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
 
 
NNNN


Webmaster