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TROPICAL STORM HANNA DISCUSSION NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT SEP 14 2002

THE CENTER OF HANNA IS JUST ABOUT TO MOVE OR IS ONSHORE IN THE 
MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER AS WE SPEAK. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE LOOKS 
GOOD ON SATELLITE WITH THE CENTER A LITTLE BIT CLOSER TO THE 
CONVECTION AND NUMEROUS RAINBANDS. RECON JUST MEASURED A MINIMUM 
PRESSURE OF 1002 MB AND A FLIGHT LEVEL PEAK WIND OF 59 KNOTS TO THE 
EAST OF THE CENTER. HANNA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN ONCE ITS CIRCULATION 
MOVES COMPLETELY INLAND TODAY. BECAUSE MOST OF THE WEATHER IS TO THE 
SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER...SQUALLS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL LIKELY 
CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. HANNA IS 
EXPECTED TO BE ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM IN ABOUT 2 DAYS.  

HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ABOUT 8 TO 9 KNOTS. THE 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IS ALREADY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE FLOW AHEAD OF A 
TROUGH. THEREFORE...THIS MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL 
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     14/1500Z 30.5N  88.2W    45 KTS
12HR VT     15/0000Z 32.2N  87.0W    25 KTS...INLAND
24HR VT     15/1200Z 34.5N  84.0W    25 KTS...INLAND
36HR VT     16/0000Z 36.9N  80.0W    25 KTS...INLAND
48HR VT     16/1200Z 40.0N  74.4W    30 KTS...ABSORBED

 
 
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