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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EDOUARD DISCUSSION NUMBER  19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI SEP 06 2002
 
EDOUARD IS BARELY ALIVE AT THE MOMENT...WITH STRONG NORTHWESTERLY
SHEAR DISPLACING WHAT CONVECTION IS OCCURRING WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST
OF THE CENTER.  THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY WEAKEN TO A NON-CONVECTIVE
LOW LATER TODAY OR SATURDAY...WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY EITHER 
DISSIPATE INLAND OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST OR BE ABSORBED INTO
TROPICAL STORM FAY. 
 
THE INITIAL MOTION IS 260/7.  THE FLOW AROUND FAY IN THE WESTERN
GULF WILL LIKELY TURN EDOUARD MORE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OVER
THE NEXT 24-36 HR...WITH THAT MOTION CONTINUING UNTIL DISSIPATION.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     06/0900Z 28.3N  85.1W    20 KTS
12HR VT     06/1800Z 28.3N  86.3W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
24HR VT     07/0600Z 28.7N  87.9W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT     07/1800Z 29.6N  89.1W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT     08/0600Z 30.7N  90.0W    20 KTS...INLAND REMNANT LOW
72HR VT     09/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
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