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TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENA ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT THU OCT 04 2001
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
ALL WARNINGS FOR THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO.

AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.9 WEST OR ABOUT
160 MILES...250 KM...SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO VALLARTA MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...17
KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BRINGING THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION NEAR THE
COAST EARLY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
ALTHOUGH LORENA IS WEAKENING THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL REMAINS.
THESE RAINS MAY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES
IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO.

REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...19.0 N...106.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
2 PM PDT.

FORECASTER PASCH/TICHACEK/MOLLEDA
 
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