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TROPICAL STORM LORENA ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT WED OCT 03 2001
 
...LORENA HEADED FOR THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO NORTHWARD TO
MAZATLAN.  HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS
AREA LATER TODAY.
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST OR ABOUT
215 MILES...350 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.

LORENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON 
THIS TRACK THE CENTER SHOULD BE APPROACHING THE WESTERN COAST OF 
MEXICO TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BEGIN SPREADING ONSHORE WITHIN AND EAST OF THE 
WARNING AREA TODAY.  THESE RAINS MAY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH 
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.

DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ALONG WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES WILL
LIKELY BEGIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO
TODAY.
  
REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...16.7 N...106.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM
PDT.

FORECASTER PASCH
  
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