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TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT FRI SEP 28 2001
 
...JULIETTE NEARLY STATIONARY...POUNDING SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO REPLACED THE
HURRICANE WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND DISCONTINUED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE MAINLAND MEXICAN COAST FROM
MAZATLAN TO YAVAROS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS AND ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF SANTA ROSALIA.
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.0 WEST OR ABOUT 75
MILES...120 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS.

JULIETTE HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.  
ONLY A SMALL DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR THE WEST COAST OF 
BAJA CALIFORNIA IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS SLOW 
MOTION WILL PROLONG THE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OVER SOUTHERN BAJA 
CALIFORNIA.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN
GUSTS...ARE STILL LIKELY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN.  PRELIMINARY
UNCONFIRMED REPORTS PROVIDED BY THE MEXICAN WEATHER SERVICE INDICATE
THAT CABO SAN LUCAS IS CURRENTLY REPORTING GUSTS TO 60 MPH...97
KM/HR.  A PEAK GUST TO 107 MPH...173 KM/HR WAS REPORTED AT CABO SAN
LUCAS NEAR 6 PM PDT...  0100 UTC LAST NIGHT.  JULIETTE IS FORECAST
TO WEAKEN GRADUALLY OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES
...325 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES...150 TO 200 MM...WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF JULIETTE
OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA.  OUTER RAINBANDS ARE ALSO
SPREADING ONTO THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF THE MEXICAN MAINLAND.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.

DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ALONG WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES WILL 
CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE COASTAL AREAS OF WESTERN MEXICO AND
ALONG THE SOUTHERN COASTS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.  

REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...23.3 N...111.0 W.  MOVEMENT
NEARLY STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH.  MINIMUM 
CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM
PDT.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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