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TROPICAL STORM IVO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM PDT THU SEP 13 2001

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LUCAS TO CABO SAN LAZARO.  THIS
WARNING WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED LATER TODAY.
 
AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVO WAS LOCATED 
NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.4 WEST OR ABOUT 155 MILES 
...250 KM...WEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.
 
IVO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. ON THIS 
TRACK...IVO WILL BE GRADUALLY MOVING AWAY FROM MEXICO.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES
...230 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR A WHILE LONGER OVER 
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND NEARBY MAINLAND MEXICO...
AND THERE REMAINS A RISK OF FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN 
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.

REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...22.6 N...112.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
8 AM PDT.

FORECASTER AVILA
  
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