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TROPICAL STORM NOEL ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE NOV 06 2001

...NOEL WEAKENING AND LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS OVER THE COLD 
NORTH ATLANTIC...ONLY A THREAT TO SHIPPING...
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL 
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  49.0 WEST OR 
ABOUT 360 MILES...580 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.
 
NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...AND THIS 
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH 
A STEADY INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.  ON THIS TRACK...NOEL WILL BE 
PASSING EAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND LATER TODAY AND WILL PRIMARILY BE ONLY 
A THREAT TO SHIPPING.  STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE 
SOUTHEASTERN AND NORTHERN GRAND BANKS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NOEL IS 
EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY BECOME ABSORBED BY A LARGER WINTER STORM 
SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS NEWFOUNDLAND LATER TODAY OR ON WEDNESDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345 MILES
...555 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  984 MB...29.06 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...42.3 N... 49.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 20 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 11 AM AST.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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