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HURRICANE NOEL ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON NOV 05 2001
 
...NORTHBOUND NOEL EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SOON...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 39.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.3 WEST OR ABOUT 515 MILES...825
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR.  A NORTHWARD
MOTION AT INCREASING SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  NOEL
IS EXPECTED TO PASS TO THE EAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND LATE ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  NOEL IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM 
OVERNIGHT...AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL ON TUESDAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  85 MILES...140 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  986 MB...29.12 INCHES.
  
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...39.3 N... 50.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 986 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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