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HURRICANE MICHELLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  25A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 PM EST SUN NOV 04 2001
 
...POWERFUL HURRICANE MICHELLE MOVING ACROSS CUBA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS
FROM OCEAN REEF WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FOR THE
PROVINCES FROM PINAR DEL RIO EASTWARD TO CIEGO DE AVILA...
INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO OCEAN REEF AND ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF FLORIDA SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN AND
CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  THIS INCLUDES GRAND BAHAMA...THE ABACOS...THE
BERRY ISLANDS...  BIMINI...ANDROS...NEW PROVIDENCE...ELEUTHERA...
CAT ISLAND...EXUMAS...SAN SALVADOR...RUM CAY AND LONG ISLAND.

AT 7 PM EST...0000Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS 
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
AT 7 PM EST...0000Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE MICHELLE WAS LOCATED 
NEAR LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.9 WEST OR OVER CUBA ABOUT 
15 MILES...24 KM...SOUTH OF COLON.

MICHELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR.
THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE CROSSING CUBA TONIGHT AND
EMERGE OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS EARLY MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...200 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 205 MILES...335 KM.  HEAVY SQUALLS WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS ARE SPREADING ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS AND THE FLORIDA KEYS 
AND ARE MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  955 MB...28.20 INCHES.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY 
HIGHER...ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF MICHELLE.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 
1 TO 3 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH 
FLORIDA.

STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL BE DECREASING ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF
CUBA.  CAYO LARGO...LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF CENTRAL CUBA...REPORTED A
STORM SURGE NEAR 18 FEET...ALMOST 6 METERS.  LARGE BATTERING WAVES
DUE TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 4 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE
BATTERING WAVES...ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA TO THE WEST OF THE
CENTER.

A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL...ALONG WITH BATTERING 
WAVES...IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COAST OF THE FLORIDA 
KEYS.

REPEATING THE 7 PM EST POSITION...22.5 N... 80.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...125 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 955 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 10 PM EST.

FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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